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This Blog has free access. I like to discuss and write on Personal Finance aspects like financial independence, wealth creating assets like equities, mutual funds etc., tax efficient investment options, question and answers on various personal financial issues.
Cox and Kings:
IPO Opens: 18th Nov 2009
Closes: 20th Nov 2009
Rating: ****
Recommendation: Subscribe
Fairly valued IPO after long time
Issue details below:
The company will raise more than Rs 610 crore from the issue, out of which it will get over Rs 509 crore and the rest will be given to shareholders.
CARE has assigned a 'CARE IPO GRADE 4' to the proposed IPO. CARE IPO Grade 4 indicates above average fundamentals.
The equity shares are proposed to be listed on Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and the National Stock Exchange of India Limited.
The objects of the fresh issue are to provide funding for repayment of loans; acquisitions and other strategic initiatives; investment in overseas subsidiaries and investment in corporate office & upgrading our existing operations.
Link for prospectus: http://www.nseindia.com/content/ipo/RHP_CNK.zip
Buy call on both CMP 85.50
Stop Loss: just below 80
Target Indian Hotel: T1: 90, T2: 94 T3: 99
Target 3i Info: T1: 89, T2: 94, T3:99
Binani Cement a part of Braj Binani Group. The Braj Binani Group is a well-diversified industrial house with a 138-year history behind it. Today, the group is actively working in the core sectors of Cement, Zinc, Glass Fibre and Downstream Composite Products.
Binani Cement Limited is the flagship subsidiary of Binani Industries Limited (BIL), the Braj Binani Group. It?s a cement manufacturer with an asset value of Rs. 1779 crores and a turnover of Rs.1960 crores, with subsidiaries in Dubai, China and expanding by the day. Binani Cement has established itself as one of the top companies in the industry in terms of efficiency and performance.
3 Yr CAGR Sales (%) : 45
3 Yr CAGR Profit (%) : 25
Promoter Shareholding (%) : 64.91
FII Shareholding (%) : 2.39
Return on Equity (%) : 28.24
MCap.(Rs. in Cr.) : 1299
P/E (x) : 5.75
TTM EPS (Rs.) : 11.64
BV (Rs.) : 24.59
Div. Yield (%) : 5.3
FV (Rs.) : 10
Industry P/E: 9.x
Binani has come out with stellar set of back to back quarterly result with earlier quarter at EPS 5.25 and current Quater at 4.98i.e end Sep-09 for Half year EPS is already 10.23 with CMP at Rs. 67 is a bargain buy. Given 3 yr. CAGR profit and slaes growth at 25 and 45% it is a reccomended value pick. Besides in long run cement industry is expected to be one of the key beneficiaries of Infra Growth story.
Given past P/E ratio assigned to Binani Industry of around 8 for trailing earnings stock can be expected to touch 93 - 100 in short term 6 - 9 months i.e arround 50% appreciation from current price.
Buy Reliance Media Works (Foremer Adlabs) at CMP 328 with Stop Loss at 310 for Target of T1 360, T2 376. T3 392 in next 1-3 Months.
Fell of 8-9% yesterday due to weak global cues, bounce back expected today following good quarterly results.
Trigger: Good results declared after market closing yesterday. Possible Rights issue in near future.
Disclaimer:
Please note that the stocks in Quick Pick segment can give a POP of +/- 10-15 % and is purely speculative in nature. This is reccomendation for a person with High Risk appetite.
FinWin is recommends buy on XPRO India Limited as a Quick Pick for short term this stock can also be held for long term perspective, click for details on XPRO India for report published earlier as value pick
Short Synopsis:
MCap.(Rs. in Cr.) | 26 | YTD Sales Growth | 10 - 20 % | |
BV (Rs.) | 97.65 | YTD Profit Growth | 50% | |
Div. Yield (%) | 4.16 | Share Capital | 11 Cr | |
EPS (Rs.) | 0.75 | Reserves and Surplus | 96.41 Cr | |
P/BV | 0.325 | CMP | 31.80 |
CMP:822
T1: Target 1 800 achieved (appreciation 8% from recommended price)
Approaching T2: Target 2 (11% appreciation)
Strategy book partial profit around T2 level and hold rest with stop loss at 789
QuickPick Tracker
Cheers!
FinWin
KCP Limited a part of KCP group offers lucrative fixed deposit scheme:
Highlights:
Non-Cumulative Deposit
Tenure: 1 to 3 years
Rate of Returns: 10 to 10.5 % p.a.
Min. Investment: INR 21000/- and thereafter in multiple of 1000
Payout: Quarterly
Risk: Credit rating from Credit rating agency not known (check website for more details)
Cumulative Fixed Deposit
Tenure: 1 to 3 years
Rate of Returns: 10 to 11% CAGR
Payout: On Maturity
Risk: Credit rating from Credit rating agency not known (check website for more details)
At the look of it the fixed deposit scheme looks quite attractive from a good company, but before taking an investment decision ensure to read all terms and conditions, risk factors etc. I am not sure if the scheme has sought any credit ratings for the instrument from 3rd Party Credit Rating agencies like ICRA, CRISIL or any others.
Click here for more detail or alternate link
FinWin is recommending buy on Jindal Saw Limited as a Quick Pick for Short Term.
I will post more detailed analysis soon.
Short Synopsis:
CMP: 741
EPS: 58
P/E Ratio: 13
BV: 532
P/Book: 1.4
3 Yr CAGR Sales Growth (%) : 30.x
3Yr CAGR Profit Growth (%) : 50
Buy at CMP with stop loss of Rs. 700*
Risk reward ratio: 1:3
TGT: 15 - 20 % in next 1-3 months time horizon
T1: 800, T2: 825, T3: 850
*By oversight I didn't put stop loss in the morning, fortunately trade did go our way, since it has now closed at 789 you can move stop loss to recommended buy level / purchase price this will help you protect the capital going ahead.
Disclaimer:
Please note that the stocks in Quick Pick segment can give a POP of +/- 10-15 % and is purely speculative in nature. This is reccomendation for a person with High Risk appetite and its very risky proposition.
One of the most intriguing aspects of investing is investing in equities. Equities are high risk high reward vehicles of investments. Given their high risk nature one should scientifically approach this investment alternative. Equities can be dealt with directly i.e. investing directly in the stock market or through a mutual fund where experts manage our funds. A small amount of equity exposure is always good as it would help us understand how the market functions and leads us to wise decision making even while choosing a mutual fund.
Equity investment decisions need to be researched and thought through thoroughly to earn high rewards. We need to understand that analyzing investing in equity is analyzing a business which is a going concern. Over the lifetime of an organization, it will traverse through phases and will have different outlook towards business. All these need to be captured quantitatively in one form or another to reach a sound decision on investment.
Ratio analysis helps us in this area of equity research. Absolute numbers though important fail to provide a complete picture of an organization. For example, we can say that two competing firms A and B are profitable and have earned Rs. 50,000/- and Rs. 75,000/- as profit respectively but to get a clear idea about which firm is better we need to understand the amount they invested to earn the profits. This is exactly where ratio analysis helps us to understand things in a better fashion.
Ratio analysis can be defined as study of financial position of a company through various ratios derived from the financial statement s of the company.
Ratios are categorized into sections, these are
a) Liquidity Ratios
b) Activity Ratios
c) Debt Ratios
d) Profitability Ratios
e) Market Ratios
Liquidity ratios
Liquidity ratios inform us about the capacity of the company to service its debts with the assets that the company has at its disposal. Two of the most popular ratios in this category are current ratio and quick ratio.
Activity ratios
Activity ratio tells us about the firm’s ability to convert its non-cash assets into cash assets. This in turn means that this ratio tells how efficient an organization is, when it comes to managing its inventories. It’s a common knowledge that managing inventory efficiently is a hallmark of a good organization.
Debt ratios
Long term debts need to be secured. Ratios in this category are indicators of an organizations ability to service its long term debt. Debt ratios are also known as leverage ratios and these ratios tell us the extent of debt in an organizations capital structure.
Profitability ratios
An organizations aim is to generate profit for its investors. Profitability ratios are indicators of the efficiency of an organization in terms of using its assets to generate profit for the shareholders. These ratios tell us the trends of an organization like if a company is doing better than previous year, or is its profitability declining.
Market Ratios
A shareholder invests in an organization with a view of earning profit on the investment. These ratios are particularly helpful in analyzing if an organization has rewarded shareholders in terms of return on their investment in the organization. These ratios along with the profit ratios are important in analyzing an organizations ability to enrich its investors. Price to earnings ratio is a popular ratio which falls under this category.
Going ahead, we will see each of these ratio categories in detail.
Jaiprakash Associate Limited a part of Jaypee group offers lucrative fixed deposit scheme:
Highlights:
Non-Cumulative Deposit
Tenure: 1 to 3 years
Rate of Returns: 11 to 12 % p.a.
Min. Investment: INR 10000/- to INR 15000 depending on payout terms
Payout: Monthly and Quarterly
Risk: Credit rating from Credit rating agency not known (check website for more details)
Cumulative Fixed Deposit
Tenure: 6 month to 3 years
Rate of Returns: 11 to 13% CAGR
Payout: On Maturity
Risk: Credit rating from Credit rating agency not known (check website for more details)
Why invest in Debt?
Company background:
Major Shareholders | % |
Promoter | 55.26 |
Life Insurance Corporation of India | 8.06 |
Stepan Holdings Ltd | 4.27 |
Reliance Growth Fund | 3.30 |
Ristana Services Ltd | 2.90 |
New India Assurance Company Ltd | 1.20 |
Sundram BNP Paribas Select Midcap | 1.13 |
76.12 |
Why invest in Equities?
Click here to view /download Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) calculator.
As discussed in my earlier post on financial independence I have listed down few instruments for savings / creation of growing assets its indicative returns and tax implications. Hope this helps. If you have any queries or doubts please post it in comments section I will try and resolve those queries.
Cheers!
Click here to open above table as web page