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Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Kaun Banega Crorepati!

One of fundamental principle in creation of wealth that I follow is “A person doesn’t become rich by how much one earns, but by how much one saves”

In this article I would like to focus on how small but regular savings can create wealth over a period of time and thus determine “Kaun Banega Crorepati”. This target can be achieved by exploiting the power of compounding

“The Power of Compounding”

Compound interest is a fundamental component in the laws of money. 
Compounding interest simply refers to the fact that the interest you receive will be calculated not only on the principal amount that you invested, but also upon prior interest amounts added to your investment.

Let’s take a look at an example. Say, Mr. Wagle invested Rs. 100,000 into a 15yr. fixed deposit paying 10% per annum. He has the choice of either having the Rs 10,000 annual interest income paid into his savings account, or of re-investing it back into the deposit.

Here's how much money he would make when his deposit matures at the end of 15 years given both scenarios: 

Interest Pay Out Option
Interest Re-Investment Option
End Year
Amount Invested
Plus Interest Paid Out
Amount Invested
Plus Interest Re-Invested
2009 100000 10000 100000 10000
2010 100000 10000 110000 11000
2011 100000 10000 121000 12100
2012 100000 10000 133100 13310
2013 100000 10000 146410 14641
2014 100000 10000 161051 16105
2015 100000 10000 177156 17716
2016 100000 10000 194872 19487
2017 100000 10000 214359 21436
2018 100000 10000 235795 23579
2019 100000 10000 259374 25937
2020 100000 10000 285312 28531
2021 100000 10000 313843 31384
2022 100000 10000 345227 34523
2023 100000 10000 379750 37975
Total Interest Credited:
150000
317725
Interest Paid Out Option
 Interest Re-Invested Opt
Total Return upon maturity
Total Return upon maturity
Initial Amount Invested
100000
Initial Amount Invested
100000
Interest Credited
150000
Interest Credited
317725
Total Return
250000
Total Return
417725


Simply by re-investing his interest, and making use of the power of compounding, Mr. Wagle has come out ahead by Rs 151,772. Put another way, if he had chosen to have his interest paid out to him, he would have two and half times initial investment after 15 yrs. By reinvesting his income, he was able to multiply it more than 4 times!!

So with the longer time horizon the greater is the benefit. Below is the comparative table for Mr. Wagle if had he invested his funds just 5 more years, into a 20 yr deposit: 

Interest Paid Out Option
Interest Re-Invested Option
Total Return upon maturity
Total Return upon maturity
Initial Amount Invested
100000
Initial Amount Invested
100000
Interest Credited
200000
Interest Credited
572750
Total Return
300000
Total Return
672750

The difference now, given just 5 extra years, is a staggering Rs. 255,055. In other words, Mr. Wagle would have multiplied his initial investment 6.7 times by re-investing his interest income, as opposed to only 3 times by electing to have it paid back to him.

Above example is where we already have initial Investment kitty available and advantage of time scale interlaced with power of compounding. Next let’s take a look at example of saving at regular intervals and power of compounding

Say Mr. Wagle is 25 yr old starts investing just INR 5000 per month at a return of 10% pa, by the time he retires at age 60 he would have accumulated a sum of Rs. 16,261,462 (Crorepati Mr. Wagle)

If you're a 25yr old reading this, I urge you to start doing this now. Don't put it off – the key to compounding is time. If you wait until you're 30 to start doing this, you'll only have just under 1 crore around Rs. 9,869,641/- by age 60 and for a 35 yr old person would be just around 5,900,824

If you're 35 or 40 and you're reading this, don't be discouraged. “The early bird gets the worm, but the second mouse gets the cheese”. You're obviously not going to be able to derive the same benefit from compounding compared to a 25yr or 30 yr old, but start now anyway.

And herein lies the key to become a crorepati

  1. That you learn to live on less than you earn J and invest what disposable income you have. Ideal combination that I would recommend is three way split i.e. 33% already gets deducted as tax 33% towards spends like usual expenses and rest 33% should flow to savings / investments.
  2. That you invest at a reasonably good interest rate (i.e. well above the rate of inflation)
  3. That you start as soon as possible to put time on your side
The example quoted above where in there is mention of 10% interest rate it was possible in safer avenues like fixed deposits last year. But now with softening of interest rate you won’t get that kind of returns. However this is where key comes to in financial planning i.e. to distribute your investments across different asset classes and exposure based on risk appetite for individuals.
In my next article will try to focus on different types of assets or investment avenues available and possible return over long period of time.

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2 comments:

ओहित म्हणे said...

Thanks Vivek. This is useful. I am often confused by so many investment options. While I understand the importance of saving, when I go out in market, I get overwhelmed by options available and always get worried about what if I option I am rejecting was the best ... and end up not doing anything :(

FinWin said...

Thanks,

This is very encouraging for me if this turns out beneficial to the readers of the blog.

I will keep on posting various avenues of investments and my recommendations. Hope you keep reading my blogs often to keep up with time and new investments. You do send me your queries in case of doubt I will try to answer them. Maybe very new to blogs right now but plan to add Q&A section on my blog. Let me know what you think

Cheers
Vivek

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